Independent assessment: 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan

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Emissions Reduction Plans are new and important planning tools that will help ensure Canada remains on track to meet its net zero targets by 2050.

In response to the release of Canada’s first Emissions Reduction Plan, the Canadian Climate Institute published an in-depth assessment, drawing on our expertise and independent modelling and assumptions conducted with our partners at Navius Research. Prior to the release of the federal plan, the Climate Institute had also created a framework, Setting Canada Up for Success, which outlined the key elements a plan would need to be successful.

While our assessment demonstrates the 2030 Plan is comprehensive and credible, its success rests on how—and how quickly—policy is developed and implemented. Five critical areas of policy account for nearly two-thirds of the emissions reductions needed to meet the 2030 milestone:

  • continued tightening of Canada’s carbon pricing regime,
  • an oil and gas cap,
  • a Clean Electricity Standard,
  • policies for land-use emissions reductions, and
  • a strengthened Clean Fuel Standard.

Subsequent Emissions Reduction Plans will be released every five years under the Canadian Net-Zero Emissions Accountability Act, with the next one released in 2029.

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