2030 Emissions Reduction Plan
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Canada’s 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan is the basis of the federal government’s strategy to achieve the emissions cuts needed to tackle climate change and build a cleaner economy.
The plan, and the progress reports that the government has subsequently published, outline the federal government’s plan for how it will reduce emissions by 40 to 45 per cent by 2030 on the path to net zero emissions by 2050. The plan and its progress reports are all required under the Canadian Net-Zero Emissions Accountability Act, which establishes regular milestones for tracking Canada’s progress.
The Canadian Climate Institute is also tracking the country’s emissions reduction progress through our 440Megatonnes project. Regular insights show how—or if—Canada’s plans and policies are keeping us on track to meet our emissions reduction target and, if not, where more work needs to be done.
And, when the federal government reaches planning and reporting milestones along the Emissions Reduction Plan timeline, the Institute publishes independent expert analyses on the country’s progress.
February 2026: Our analysis of the second Progress Report
In December 2025, Canada published the second progress report on the 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan. Our analysis finds that it offers a credible picture of Canada’s progress, showing that the country is not on track to meet its climate goals, including its 2035 target and net zero emissions by 2050. However, the report lacks an adequate policy response to the growing gap between the country’s emissions and its climate targets.
Discover our six recommendations for how governments should approach the delivery of an updated climate plan.
Canada’s emissions pathway according to the Institute’s independent modelling of the 2025 progress report
December 2023: First Progress Report and our analysis
In December 2023, Canada published the first progress report on the 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan. The report shows progress is being made, but deep emissions reductions require quick and effective policy implementation. At the time, we found that current and proposed policies could deliver 85 to 90 per cent of Canada’s 2030 target.
Read our Independent Assessment of Canada’s 2023 Emissions Reduction Plan Progress Report.
March 2022: Canada’s 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan released
In March 2022, Canada released the 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan. Our independent assessment showed that although the plan was comprehensive, there were five priority policy areas that needed to be quickly developed and implemented to meet Canada’s 2030 targets.